Breakthrough Defense Technology Hits Jackpot

Todd Moses
April 24, 2024

Venture Capital firms (VCs) are generating high investment returns with growing influence over U.S. foreign policy.

Inputs that matter: VCs are becoming major Washington influencers while simultaneously jumpstarting the defense industry's newest brands.

  • In this respect, billionaire VCs like Peter Thiel and Eric Schmidt are noticeable for involvement in both sides of government-defense sector relations.
  • Thiel Capital's chief of Staff, Michael Kratsios, took White House and Defense Department positions in the Trump administration, bringing Thiel closer to power.
  • Rebellion investor Schmidt is a member of the Defense Innovation Board, which advises lawmakers and the Pentagon on tech policies.
  • As the American Prospect's former managing editor, Jonathan Guyer, writes, the board is "allocating resources toward the exact technology Rebellion [is] selling."

The opportunity: VC groups are poking the stick at China, now a nemesis in what Palantir senior policy adviser Jacob Helberg deems a brewing "tech war."

  • 16z Co-Founder Marc Andreessen has observed he has more success in policy conversations with lawmakers when he mentions China.
  • Lux Capital's website plainly states that China is "a serious threat to U.S. global hegemony."

Zoom in: As Palantir CEO Alex Karp previously put it,"Bad times are perfect for Palantir."

  • Rebellion provides a tactical threat awareness tool (TTA) that uses AI to make battlefield decisions.
  • According to two U.S. officials, the Biden administration is preparing a larger-than-normal package of military aid for Ukraine that will include armored vehicles, urgently needed artillery, and air defenses.
  • "Give us the damn Patriots," Kyiv's Foreign Minister, Dmytro Kuleba, told Politico in late March. Shortly after, Zelensky said the country needed 25 Patriot systems, up to eight batteries each, "to cover Ukraine completely."
  • Thanks to Google, Ukraine generals and commanders have a new way to visualize Russia’s movements and communications in one big, user-friendly picture.

Between the lines: Defense companies and startups are lining up for military contracts to create a new generation of space weaponry and adjacent tech, including space vehicles, hypersonic rockets, and extensive surveillance and communications projects.

  • North Korea recently launched a spy satellite and is planning to launch more.
  • China is "developing the counter-space capabilities to threaten U.S. and allied satellites and developing sophisticated launch capabilities that are moving much more toward reusable launch vehicles."
  • DefenseNews reports, "Russia, China, India, and the United States have tested anti-satellite missiles, and several major world powers have developed technology meant to disrupt signals in space."
  • U.S. Space Force General Chance Saltzman declares, "If we do not have space, we lose."

Follow the money: Lockheed Martin has played a significant role in Israel's bombing and invasion of Gaza, manufacturing Hellfire missiles, providing transport planes, and supplying F-16 and F-35 fighter jets.

  • RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX), formerly Raytheon, is trading at a four-year high as demand for its Patriot Missile System escalates.
  • Likewise, defense company General Dynamics Corp (NYSE: GD) is trading at an all-time high
  • Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE: LMT) is up 41.57% on the new wave of U.S. aid for Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan.
  • Oshkosh Corp (NYSE: OSK) is shy of its yearly high.
  • Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ: GOOG), Google's parent company, is at a 12-month high.

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Read More

  1. https://responsiblestatecraft.org/venture-capital-defense-companies/
  2. https://responsiblestatecraft.org/lockheed-martin-israel-war/
  3. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/22/ukraine-package-armored-vehicles-00153672
  4. https://www.newsweek.com/volodymyr-zelensky-patriot-air-defenses-ukraine-russia-1892578
  5. https://banananomics.co/timely_world_events_energizing_military_spending
  6. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidjeans/2023/12/22/how-rebellion-defense-the-1-billion-military-ai-startup-hyped-by-silicon-valley-wound-up-in-a-nosedive/?sh=743b5056772c
  7. https://banananomics.co/the_evolving_policies_for_space
  8. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/23/us/politics/ukraine-new-american-technology.html